2012年4月24日 星期二

數大便是美,但同樣帶來 Facebook 的焦慮:大數法則,Facebook 營收不再成長


數大便是美,但會帶來焦慮”,老人昨天剛提出的名言不但用於蘋果,也用於即將股票上市的Facebook。
“大數法則”:“股票的大數法則卻指當一家公司的股票市值變得很大時,公司要繼續維持過往一定程度的股票上漲動力,會變成很難!最終一定會造成股票下跌!”,Facebook 公司未上市,但仍適用大數法則”。因為同樣的太“”了!
根據 BusinessInsider,Facebook 營收已不再成長@!Facebook 以極端快速的速度成長,如上圖,但2012年這第一季營收停止成長,微跌!不只是營收,連利潤也跌 (2012年Q1是2億500萬美元,去年同季是2億3300萬美元,上季是3億200萬美元)

這對於一個正等待着上市的特大號公司而言絕對不是好事!

微軟的開會文化


老人的“Google老闆訂立開會原則”列名老人與蘋果有“史”以來最常被點閱的第二名文章,有7629次點閱。老人當時提到“如果你在成千上萬員工的公司上班,你就可知道公司為何不再進步的原因:沒效率的開會!... 要看一個公司的文化,在外看其廣告,在內看其開會
微軟就是如此!一個離開微軟的員工在他的文章“Frustration, Disappointment And Apathy: My Years At Microsoft 我在微軟的歲月:挫折、失望、和冷漠,ㄧ語道出“看一個公司文化,看其開會”的道理。
The Microsoft Meeting:
Microsoft culture expects you to be in meetings. Calendars need to be decorated with sufficient colourful blocks, to signal over-activity. 微軟的文化就是要你開會。你的日曆本得標記的彩色奔飛,密密麻麻,以顯示你的忙碌。
Dig a bit deeper and you’ll realise that Microsoft meetings are a way to diffuse and evade responsibility for decisions. Yes – let’s spend weeks on weeks “reviewing with stakeholders.” It’s so much safer that taking swift decisions ourselves. The company places no trust on the individual to make the right decision on their own.
So what happens in those meetings? Are they brainstorming earth-shattering new ideas? Are they inventing new products? Why are they getting paid to join so many of them? How can Microsoft afford to have so many of its employees fluffing about?
Because they can. Microsoft sits on stockpiles of cash, with about $60 billion earning interest in the bank. With that mystery out of the way, let’s take a look at some of those meetings: Strategy reviews, deep dives, virtual coffee breaks, quarterly off-sites, monthly get-togethers, director summits, leadership meetings, etc.
Yikes, who is going to organise all that? Fear not. Every team has their very own “business manager.” And since business managers are too senior to be bogged down with logistics, enter the legions of “support managers” and “administrative assistants” reporting to business managers.
Large companies have overheads, a necessary evil, you say. Overheads need to be managed. And managed they are: Group Managers, Program managers, General managers, together with ‘Senior’ flavours of those and a whole new breed of directors, stakeholders, business owners, relationship leads coupled with their own countless derivatives.
All those meeting-goers are not making anything. Deciding upon and making something is hard. And if this onerous activity has to be done, then hire external consultants for it. It’s easier and less risky. 所有的開會都沒決定任何事。開會決策變為最難的一件事。如果繁重的決策一定要做,那就決議聘請外部顧問。因為這樣事情會變得較容易且風險較小。
There is no creative tension, no vision these days. Left to Microsoft’s hands we’d still be toiling on overheating Vista desktops.
This company is becoming the McDonalds of computing. Cheap, mass products, available everywhere. No nutrients, no ideas, no culture. Windows 8 is a fine example. The new Metro interface displays nonstop, trivial updates from Facebook, Twitter, news sites and stock tickers. Streams of raw noise distract users from the moment they login.
In an already loud world, all Windows 8 does is increase the decibels.

......所以你的公司像不像微軟?......


行動網路流量 iOS 佔70%以上,iPad 第一位


根據 Chitika,行動網路流量幾乎70%以上都使用iOS裝置。在最近的5天的 Real-time 實時間追蹤,iOS 最多還達 80%,而 iPad (上圖,清藍色) 的流量都佔第一位!Android 手機 (上圖,綠色) 頂多和 iPhone  (上圖,藍色) 相近。
有趣的是,跟以前一樣,Android 手機的市佔率都超過 iPhone,而 iPad 數量更可能不到 Android 手機的十分之一!但上網卻是另一個故事。

老人:所以一再顯示老人過去所提的:Android手機和iOS的市場是不同的!Android手機的用戶常常把它當一般手機 (feature phone) 使用。而 iOS 使用者把它當行動電算或上網工具 (mobile computing-net device)。

微軟 SkyDrive 雲端儲存服務免費升級25GB,挑戰 Dropbox


Dropbox 的免費雲端儲存服務人人愛用。微軟Windows也推出許久的 SkyDrive 雲端儲存服務,但許多人不知 (SkyDrive 比 Dropbox 還要早推出!)。
現在也有中文 Mac 版,你可由這裡下載 Mac 版的 SkyDrive,目前已升級至 25GB (限時?)。使用方法和 Dropbox 類似,放一個檔案夾在系統中。也有 iOS 版的 SkyDrive 在 iPhone 和 iPad 都可用。

Mac 版方法:
1. 下載 Mac 版 SkyDrive
2. 打開裝入 SkyDrive (需有 MSN 或 Hotmail 帳號)
3. 在MenuBar上的 SkyDrive 圖示拉下選單中選“管理儲存空間”
4. 進入 SkyDrive 的網站,選升級